Arsenal Head Into Title Defence as Premier League Odds Take Shape for 2026/27
Arsenal are favourites to retain the Premier League after a 22-year wait ended last season, with odds pricing Mikel Arteta's side at 6/4 ahead of a summer that has reshaped three of their biggest rivals' dugouts.
The Premier League returns on Friday 21 August, a week later than usual to allow players recovery time after this summer's World Cup in the United States, Canada and Mexico, which
Spain won 1-0 in extra time after a Ferran Torres strike denied Lionel Messi's Argentina. Arsenal open the defence of their title at home to newly promoted Coventry City, live on Sky Sports, while the season's first real form-check with the champions comes even sooner: Arsenal face Manchester City in the FA Community Shield at the Principality Stadium in Cardiff on Sunday, 16th August.
Arsenal's 2025/26 title was their fourth overall and first since 2004: 85 points, seven clear of City in second. Haaland was the division's top scorer with 27 goals. Raya kept the most clean sheets of any goalkeeper, 19 of them. Arteta hasn't had to tear much up.
City can't say the same. Guardiola walked away after a decade in charge, and Enzo Maresca took over on a three-year deal at the end of June, his first Premier League job. Liverpool has gone with Andoni Iraola, and Chelsea with Xabi Alonso. Three of last season's top six have new voices in the dressing room.
What the Early Odds Say
Arsenal are 6/4 to go back-to-back, according to
the latest UK betting sites, which puts their implied chance at roughly 40 per cent. Liverpool is next at 5/1. City sits closer to Arsenal than to Liverpool, odds still hedging on how quickly a title-winning squad adjusts to a manager who's never done this job before. Haaland is a heavy 4/6 for a fourth Golden Boot; Gyokeres is 6/1, Salah 10/1. The Community Shield itself has Arsenal at 6/4, the draw at 5/2, and City at 13/8.
A Different Regulatory Landscape This Season
The rules around those offers have changed, too. Since January, the
Gambling Commission has capped bonus wagering requirements at 10 times the value of a promotion and banned operators from combining multiple products into a single offer. Free bets should be simpler to read now, not just cheaper to advertise.
The Premier League's front-of-shirt gambling sponsorship ban, agreed by clubs back in 2023, is now in effect for a full season for the first time. It only covers the front of the shirt: sleeve deals and pitch-side boards are unaffected, and the EFL was never part of the agreement.
The Season Ahead
Coventry City, Ipswich Town and Hull City are up, replacing West Ham, Burnley and Wolves. None of the three will get a look in the title market. Coventry's reward for winning the Championship is a trip to the Emirates on opening night, which is about as unkind as the fixture list gets.
Arsenal is still the team everyone else has to catch. Cardiff, on 16th August, is where we find out if City's rebuild has legs before it matters.