US President Betting 2024 – Who Has the Best Chances in the US Election According to Online Betting Providers?

Who will become president in the 2024 US election? This question is on the minds of non GamStop casinos and bookmakers and punters alike around a year before the election. Donald Trump caused a stir in the 2016 presidential election, not only with his candidacy and his surprising election victory, but also with the underdog victory among the non GamStop bookmakers, who had seen his opponent Hillary Clinton as the clear favorite. For those interested in the betting landscape, a comprehensive Betti Casino review can provide insights into current odds and trends.

At the moment, Republican Donald Trump, who was voted out of office in 2020, is leading the polls and forecasts of online bookmakers ahead of incumbent US President and Democrat Joe Biden, despite legal proceedings and charges. Can Donald Trump prevail against his Republican competitors and assert himself again in the election campaign? We provide an overview of the non GamStop betting forecast for the 2024 US election.

US Election 2024 Forecast: Donald Trump Leads Ahead of Joe Biden at Non GamStop Bookmakers

Online betting providers currently see Donald Trump ahead of President Joe Biden in the upcoming US election campaign. The bookmakers' odds give Donald Trump a probability of winning of around 40 percent, while the values for the incumbent Joe Biden fluctuate.

The non GamStop casinos and bookmakers rate his chances of re-election as low as 33 percent and, with a current maximum of 39 percent, only one percentage point behind Trump. In third place, Gavin Newsom is only at around 14 percent. For those exploring their options, there are various platforms offering non GamStop betting opportunities to consider.

CANDIDATE (PARTY)	CHANCES OF WINNING
Donald Trump (R)	40%
Joe Biden (D)	33% / 38% / 39%
Gavin Newsom (D)	14%
Nikki Haley (R)	7% / 9%
Ron DeSantis (R)	3% / 5%
Kamala Harris (D)	4%
Robert Kennedy Jr. (D)	2% / 4%
Michelle Obama (D)	4.35%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)	2%
Elizabeth Warren (D)	1.25%
Pete Buttigieg (D)	1%

Current Poll Results in Comparison

According to a representative poll for the New York Times, Donald Trump will be ahead of incumbent President Joe Biden in five of six important US states in November 2023. The US states of Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are considered so-called "swing states" or "battleground states". Since they can be decisive in the election, they are hotly contested by the candidates in the election campaign.

Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden in Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania. In Nevada, the gap is even clear, with 52% of respondents voting for Donald Trump and 41% for Joe Biden. Only in Wisconsin is Biden ahead with 47% compared to Donald Trump's 45 percent. Joe Biden won all six of these "swing states" in the 2020 presidential election.

US Election 2024: Betting on the Next US President

The most popular bets among bettors currently give Donald Trump odds of 2.6, followed by Joe Biden with 3.4. The astronomically high odds of 26 are in third place among bettors, followed by Gavin Newsom with 9 and Michelle Obama with also 26.

Other popular betting odds for US election 2024 bets at a glance:

● Donald Trump: 2.6
● Joe Biden: 3.4
● Gavin Newsom: 9
● Nikki Haley: 14
● Robert Kennedy Jr.: 26
● Michelle Obama: 26
● Ron DeSantis: 34
● Kamala Harris: 51

Who Are the Candidates in the 2024 US Election?

It is expected that incumbent Joe Biden and his vice president Kamala Harris will run for the Democratic presidential election again. However, Democratic rivals are Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson.

As of the end of November 2023, the current field on the opposing side of the Republicans looks like this:

● Donald Trump
● Ryan Binkley
● Doug Burgum
● Chris Christie
● Ron DeSantis
● Nikki Haley
● Asa Hutchinson
● Vivek Ramaswamy

The following Republican candidates have already withdrawn from the race:

● Francis Suarez (August 29, 2023)
● Will Hurd (October 9, 2023)
● Corey Stapleton (October 13, 2023)
● Perry Johnson (October 20, 2023)
● Larry Elder (October 26, 2023)
● Mike Pence (October 28, 2023)
● Tim Scott (November 12, 2023)

What Types of Bets Are There?

The availability of the types of US election 2024 bets varies with the respective bookmaker. The most common bet is on the winner of the US presidential election. However, bettors also have the opportunity to bet on the following, among others:

● Party of the election winner
● Gender of the election winner
● Democratic candidate
● Republican candidate
● Vice President of the Democrats
● Vice President of the Republicans
● Candidate with the most votes
● Party with the most votes

Donald Trump in the 2024 US Election Campaign: Court Cases & Charges

Even before his election as president in 2016, Trump was involved in more than 4,000 lawsuits involving, among other things, his casinos, real estate lawsuits, defamation allegations, tax matters, and more serious charges and legal problems related to his time in office and its aftermath.

Arguably the most serious charge in federal court is conspiracy. Donald Trump is accused of attempting to influence the outcome of the 2020 election and of calling on his supporters to storm the Capitol on January 6, 2021.

Trump is also facing charges of possible election manipulation in the US state of Georgia. In Florida, Trump faces charges of taking confidential government documents with him and improperly storing them. There are also charges against Trump as a private citizen, for example for financial fraud or hush money payments. In New York, Trump has already been convicted of sexual assault.

Whatever the outcome of the trials against Trump, the former president and Republican can become US head of state again despite convictions. But one thing is already certain: Donald Trump will spend a large part of the 2024 election campaign in court.

US Election 2024 Betting: Will the Non GamStop Bookmakers Be Wrong Again This Time?

The non GamStop casinos and bookmakers' US election 2024 forecast does not necessarily turn out to be correct. The odds of the major betting agents do indeed serve as so-called prediction markets, which provide comparatively realistic predictions about the possible outcome of an event, as they reflect the opinions of the tipsters: the more players bet on an outcome, the lower the odds become. However, 2016 is a double example of the failure of betting markets as a means of forecasting. Bookmakers' odds failed to predict Brexit and the outcome of Britain's exit from the European Union led to high payouts.

The same thing happened again in the November 2016 presidential election, with major bookmakers suffering record losses when Trump unexpectedly won the election.

About a year before the election, Donald Trump is only narrowly ahead of Joe Biden. It seems likely that the two opponents will enter the race as their party's candidates and fight a head-to-head election campaign. However, many changes and political events can still influence voters before Election Day.